David Brooks on Republicans

david brooks David Brooks on Republicans

David Brooks, New York Times

David Brooks is one of my favorite commentators. So often he gets things right – at least in my opinion.

Again today, he’s written something that resonates – The Possum Republicans.

He offers some perspective on why the Republican party behaves as it is doing. While everyone on the right profess to want to defeat President Obama, day-to-day behavior seems determined to ensure that does not happen.

I can’t begin to do his writing justice, so I will offer a few telling quotes:

Republicans on the extreme ferociously attack their fellow party members… Republicans on the extreme are willing to lose elections in order to promote their principles. Those in the mainstream are quick to fudge their principles if it will help them get a short-term win…

In the 1960s and ’70s, the fight was between conservatives and moderates. Conservatives trounced the moderates and have driven them from the party. These days the fight is between the protesters and the professionals…

Without real opposition, the wingers go from strength to strength. Under their influence, we’ve had a primary campaign that isn’t really an argument about issues. It’s a series of heresy trials in which each of the candidates accuse the others of tribal impurity.

I like that last bit – ‘heresy trials’. Sure feels that way.

Downward Spiral for the GOP

 Downward Spiral for the GOPLately, I am feeling a bit more skeptical about politics that usual. I think Republicans generally have better policies, especially about economics, but the dynamics of the race are pushing people to do and say ridiculous things on a regular basis.

I also think the party orthodoxy is not flexible or creative enough to address the size and depth of the problems the country faces (same being true for the Democrats). It feels like we’d be better off with the GOP in charge, but I’m not sure we’d actually be doing as well as we could or need to.

It would take a person with tremendous powers of persuasion (and intellect) to move us collectively towards the nuanced and sometimes complicated positions that are probably in our long term best interest – and neither Romney or Santorum are demonstrating they have those powers.

One of the reasons I voted for Obama was that I thought he possibly had the potential to do this. Turns out he didn’t – or maybe he did, but he never had any intention of doing so and it was just a ploy to get elected.

Whatever the case, it is clear that the Republican candidates, Romney included, are being forced to take very hard line positions across a number of fronts that a) can’t be good for winning the general election, and b) probably aren’t great solutions anyway.

Case in point lately for me is the issue of environment vs. oil/energy. Seems to me the best position is a nuanced one where we acknowledge high standards of environmental stewardship while pursuing an aggressive pro-growth energy strategy. However, the loudest voices in each party push their leaders towards fairly extreme positions – too much environmental stuff from the left, too little of it from the right. It doesn’t appear that anybody can rise above the doctrinaire to speak in the right proportion for each thing without alienating their ‘base’.

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NYT and WSJ react to Obama’s budget: Through the looking glass

Obama’s 2013 budget was released yesterday. In today’s papers, the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times have shared their reactions. They could not be more different.

 NYT and WSJ react to Obamas budget: Through the looking glass

In their piece titled A Responsible Budget, the NYT totally buys into the Democratic narrative of how the world works and what the Federal government’s priorities should be. Even as it runs up an unprecedented fourth year in a row with a $1T+ deficit, they do not question a single thing, except to assert that Obama was too soft on defense and could have found more than a measely $5b in cuts.

As is common in liberal analysis (even analysis of budgets), they use very few numbers or charts. In this case, their write-up contains a grand total of 4 numbers (dollar amounts, percentages, dates, etc.) and no charts at all. You’d think that commenting on such a numerically-driven document would require greater use of figures, but why get bogged down with objective reality? The NYT keeps their focus squarely on the liberal plotline.

Not surprisingly, the WSJ has a completely different take in their piece titled The Amazing Obama Budget. Not surprisingly, they don’t like much of anything about it – and offer solid reasons why. I agree with most of them.

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George Lakoff – How conservatives and liberals think. or not.

A commenter on this blog (Dan) has repeatedly suggested I read Moral Politics by George Lakoff. He’s suggested it will explain all when it comes to why conservatives are the way they are and vice versa for liberals. Naturally, I never did it, but I’ve been more and more wondering about this question and seeking some insight.

moral politics George Lakoff   How conservatives and liberals think. or not.Today there was a piece in the New York Times called The Gulf of Morality that tries to get at how and why the two sides think as they do. And who should be the first person they quote, but Professor Lakoff who makes this ridiculous comment:

conservatives believe in individual responsibility alone, not social responsibility. They don’t think government should help its citizens. That is, they don’t think citizens should help each other.

This is absurd on its face – especially given my post earlier today about conservatives giving a lot more of their income to charity, being more likely to devote their own time to charitable causes (volunteerism), and when they do volunteer, to spend almost double the amount of time doing it.

So if this is what this guy thinks about conservatives, how can Dan be recommending him as the font of wisdom? I wanted to know more. Since I’m too lazy to read an entire book, I took a shortcut and listened to a lecture he gave at UC San Diego in 2005 about the topic of his book ‘Moral Politics’. It’s an hour long and I’ve listened carefully to it twice.

Here are some thoughts:

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‘Conservatives are selfish people’ – Not

I make a point to read the New York Times every day, especially the OpEd pieces. I very often disagree with the OpEd pieces, but what are often even more remarkable are the comments. One from a piece today was especially remarkable for its concise and utterly unsupportable point.

The piece is titled The Gulf of Morality and it speaks to an issue that I’ve been thinking about a lot lately which is why/how liberals and conservatives can’t communicate.

I plan to post on the piece itself shortly, but the comment that got me is this from Stephen in New Haven (boldface by me):

Conservatives are a psychological and human anomaly. Although they like to think they pulled themselves up by their bootstraps, all they really do is climb over other people on the way up. To put it bluntly: Conservatives are selfish people.

This behavior is completely at odds with human development. Selfishness does not help the group survive. We evolved to live in social groups who look after one another.

Over the many years I lived in Massachusetts, I often heard statements like this and they seemed at odds with reality as I knew it. In other words, if I looked at actual Republicans I knew were they more selfish than the Democrats I knew? No, generally not. Plenty of Democrats are selfish – possibly even more so.

Nevertheless, Democrats rarely pass up an opportunity to profess undying concern for others, but do they do more than Republicans to actually improve the lives of those people? In particular, do they personally do things? Answer: no. I could share specific anecdotes, but won’t.

You can see this in study after study of charitable giving and time spent volunteering for charities or good works. The Blue States (Democrats) systematically give less to charity – and have for years and years since I first became aware of this type of data. The Blue states consistently show up at the bottom of the charitable giving rankings. The Red States are generally towards the top. Of course, the correlation isn’t perfect, but it’s pretty darn strong.

This phenomenon is well documented by multiple studies by multiple entities. Here is 2008 piece by Nicholas Kristol, who’s about as liberal as they come, sharing the bad news. He cites studies by Arthur Brooks and Google that showed a “30%” and “nearly double” edge to Republican households over Democrat households in charitable giving.

A quick google search also yielded this excellent analysis of some of the data Kristol used to draw his conclusions done by a company called GeoIQ (they found a way to use the geo skills to enhance the data with some great charts).

Some newer data can be found here: Frasier Institute. See table below for actual data from this report. As I’ve seen before, this data shows that my beloved home state of MA which is stuffed to the gills with liberals finishes 40th (out of 50) in percentage of income given to charity. In past years, it was even worse. I think it used to be 46th or something. California is 30th out of 50.

Here’s a chart from the GeoIQ post (big version) that captures this visually. The orange states voted Republican in 2008 (aka the Red States). Blue voted Democrat (aka the Blue States). The larger the dot, the higher the charitable giving for that state as measured by the ‘Generosity Index Ranking’ – a metric compiled by the Catalogue for Philanthropy (or maybe now the Frasier Institute?).

charitable giving democrats vs republicans Conservatives are selfish people   Not

Source: GeoIQ

Tables below from Generosity in Canada and the United States: The 2010 Generosity Index. They are hard to read here, so please click images to see them in a larger size.

charitable giving by state1 Conservatives are selfish people   Not

charitable giving by state2 Conservatives are selfish people   Not

 

Keystone XL – Is there a better route for transporting the oil?

Read this this morning in the Wall Street Journal:

Credit Suisse analyst Ed Westlake puts it this way: “From a transportation perspective, which is more environmentally risky: Shipping crude across the Rocky Mountains to the British Colombia coast, loading the crude onto tankers which sail down the California coast, through the Panama Canal and into the Gulf of Mexico or building a [southern] pipeline to the latest safety specifications?”

Quite so.

keystone ledeall1 Keystone XL   Is there a better route for transporting the oil?

Source: Politico

In a related column on the First Enercast Financial website that uses the same quote, there is a bit more discussion of the reasoning of opponents of the pipeline and a good analogy is offered. The underlying issue is simply opposition to use of oil – especially ‘dirty oil’ as an energy source and this is an attempt to restrict access in the hopes of reducing usage. Quite likely these folks would like to kill it at it’s source – the tar sands fields. But killing either the pipeline or tar sands generally is misguided for many reasons, imo.

This deep felt opposition to fossil fuels development is one of the most fundamental economic problems with the liberal / environmental agenda. If anything, we should be figuring out to how to develop and use a lot more North American oil, coal, and gas.

A column in Politico also characterizes Obama’s decision as a “punt” and goes on to quote a labor union president as follows:

“Environmentalists formed a circle around the White House and within days the Obama administration chose to inflict a potentially fatal delay to a project that is not just a pipeline, but is a lifeline for thousands of desperate working men and women,” Terry O’Sullivan, general president of the Laborers’s International Union of North America, said in a statement. “The administration chose to support environmentalists over jobs — job-killers win, American workers lose.”

Per my post yesterday, it is awesome to see a union president also using the term ‘job killer’. How great is that?

It is also interesting to see how environmentalists beat out even unions in this case. Democrat against Democrat. Must have been a tough call Obama. No doubt he will throw the next one over to the unions – got to keep everyone happy.

And it reminds me of a related type of schism in the Democratic party over Cape Wind. In that case, it is environmentalists vs. environmentalists. The green energy part of the movement wants the thing. Other parts don’t and they are fighting to the death. I’m amazed the project continues at all given how long it has taken and how expensive it must be to keep going. I imagine there are large government incentives and subsidies at the end of the line that help grease the skids.

Liberals are totally losing it: no fall holidays

I used to sort of understand and even agree with a lot of liberal thinking, but good God what the f— is going on in the liberal mind these days?

Now we are cancelling fall holidays over supposed atrocities of hundreds of years ago and/or vague linkages to witchcraft and/or whatever else. It is absurd – and we aren’t even talking about economic policy or Occupy Wall Street. What a mess.

 Liberals are totally losing it: no fall holidays
Via Fox News, WHDH, and other sources, Anne Foley, an elementary school principal in my old state of Massachusetts says this:

“When we were young we might have been able to claim ignorance of the atrocities that Christopher Columbus committed against the indigenous peoples. We can no longer do so. For many of us and our students, celebrating this particular person is an insult and slight to the people he annihilated. On the same lines, we need to be careful around the Thanksgiving Day time as well.”

Taking this impeccable logic forward, why stop at holidays? If we really want to atone for our great, great, great, great, great ancestors sins shouldn’t we do something that really hurts – like slashing our wrists?

Then you combine this thinking with other guilt about the environment, exploiting workers, and so forth and the only logical place to go is either back to the Stone Age or onto the next world. We certainly can’t stay here.

Who knows what the future brings, but I think we can pretty safely say that I won’t be voting Democratic again anytime soon.

FoxNews: http://www.myfoxboston.com/dpp/news/local/somerville-principal-fall-holidays-are-insensitive-20111014

WHDH: http://www1.whdh.com/news/articles/local/boston/12005629984669/somerville-principal-seeks-to-cut-back-holiday-celebrations/#ixzz1auJaBQEl

8.8 Billion Hours Spent Completing Regulatory Paperwork

The Wall Street Journal today reports about an OMB study which indicates that Americans spent 8.8 billion hours filling out federal forms in 2010. This is down from 2009, but apparently due to a more favorable formula for calculating the figures.

Full article here: White House Tallies Hours Spent Filling Out Forms (paywall)

The OMB study indicates that despite supposedly decreasing in the past year, the burden has increased by 19% since 2000.

Various stats are offered:

  • 70M additional hours in 2010 for employers to claim a new credit for hiring more workers
  • 14.5M additional hours for restaurants to display calorie counts on their menus

The SEC also had the biggest year-over-year increase as a result of doubling its estimate of how long it takes to fill out its forms.

If you do some simple math, you can see that 8.8B hours equals roughly 4.5M full-time workers – or 3.8% of the workforce (153.6M workers – 14.0M unemployed, 1,928 applied work hours per person).

Many would argue this isn’t nearly enough, but I suspect the opposite is true – and it is likely to go well higher with ObamaCare, Dodd-Frank, and numerous other regulations in the pipeline.

wsj regulatory paperwork hours 8.8 Billion Hours Spent Completing Regulatory Paperwork

Regulatory Paperwork Burden

It’s all Bush’s fault!

Even 3 years into Obama’s presidency, commentators and commenters are constantly blaming it all on Bush. As we sit here in mid-2011, they make it sound like it has been obvious since Day 1 that Bush left the economy in terrible, terrible shape.

 Its all Bushs fault!Seems to me that this is revisionist and largely a response to the reality that Obama’s policies have not worked out very well. As they continue to fail, the left has to blame someone and, surely, it is not going to be Obama. Since they all already hate Bush, he’s an easy target.

I’d raise two points about why this is revisionist:

First, if Democrats knew the economy was so bad when they took office, why did they move so quickly (Stimulus was passed within 3 weeks of Obama’s taking office) from the Stimulus to ObamaCare, Cap and Trade, Dodd-Frank, and other programs.  Surely, none of these could be seen are primarily focused on rescuing the economy or creating jobs. If it was obvious the economy sucked, there is no reason they should have done anything but focused like a laser on additional economic and jobs initiatives.

Two explanations for why they did these things.

  1. They knew the economy was in the crapper, but didn’t care because their legislative agenda was more important than fixing the economy.
  2. They actually thought they’d done enough with the Stimulus and could, in clear conscience, move along to other priorities.

My sense is it is something of a melding of the two: They both thought (or at least hoped) they’d done enough and they knew they had to get on move on to implement their policy ambitions before the clock ran out on their terms.

Second reason why it is revisionist is the degree to which this is even Bush’s fault to begin with. Clearly, he was the President then and the economy seriously sucked, but he was not exactly the architect of all that was happening around him (any more than Obama is the architect of all that happens on his watch now). And it is not like the majority of folks on the Democratic side were screaming from the rafters to rein things in as the boom occurred or even as we were crashing.

You can see this when by going back and reading the comments from any number of leading politicians, economists, etc. in the months (even years) before things fell apart and as it was happening and see that nobody really saw it coming – not Bush, not Greenspan/Bernanke, not the Democratically-controlled Congress, etc. Most everyone at every level was bought into the idea that this was real and would continue. This is how most all recessions go – everyone thinks things are reasonably okay, until they don’t.

Along these lines, I was reading a really excellent economics paper just now that quotes Robert Rubin from March, 2008 saying “few, if any people anticipated the sort of meltdown that we are seeing in the credit markets”.

And if Bush did have so much control over the economy, then shouldn’t Obama have even more right now? In his final 2 years, Bush had a wholly Democratic Congress – couldn’t they have taken steps to reign things in?

For Obama’s first 2 years, Democrats controlled all three branches of government. If they knew then what they claim they knew about the magnitude of the problems, why the heck didn’t they focus 100% on the economy and jobs?