Gasoline taxes by state

I’ve been doing a lot of driving along the east coast this year and have noticed large variations in the cost of gasoline from state to state. I was thinking this was due in part to differences in state and local taxes, but never stopped to figure it out.

On future trips, I’d like to be a little more strategic and buy gas in states where the taxes are lower. Here’s a chart showing tax burden for each state.

gasoline taxes by state Gasoline taxes by state

The range from highest to lowest is pretty significant – more than double. Alaska is the cheapest at 26.4 cents. California has the highest taxes at 67.7 cents.

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Liberal meme: Regulations create jobs

After my dismal experience yesterday with Lakoff’s attempt to create a wholistic model of progressive and conservative thought, I’m drawn to the idea of memes and how the thinking on each side is a loose constellation of memes. Some are more foundational. Some are more emergent. Some enduring, some ephemeral.

 Liberal meme: Regulations create jobs

Pilfered from tessarickart.wordpress.com

The memes idea is appealing because it would allow for narrow, but contradictory beliefs to coexist more easily – and for beliefs to shift more fluidly over time in response to events and trends as they obviously do (on both sides).

It also is a more organic way to imagine diverse constellations of human actors to develop collective beliefs – since neither progressives nor conservatives are meeting all at once to ratify grand philosophies, it is really the only possible way for them to develop: piece by piece, bit by bit.

While memes are commonly used as a framework in technology and social media, they don’t seem to have found much of a home in theories of political thought. There are very few citations found when you do a google search. Those that are seem very narrowly focused at the level of specific rumors or facts. Everyone instead seems to be looking for the big, unifying idea when maybe things are not that coherent.

Anyway while doing a bit of googling on this topic, I came across a recent article titled “The liberal meme that regulations don’t cost jobs“. This echoes a comment posted on my blog the other day that left me baffled. I’ll leave the article to speak for itself, but it illustrates the dynamic perfectly.

I especially like his reference to the article in the Wall Street Journal about Italy. I read that same article and had the exact same thought: an obvious example illustrating why and how regulations constrain growth.

George Lakoff – How conservatives and liberals think. or not.

A commenter on this blog (Dan) has repeatedly suggested I read Moral Politics by George Lakoff. He’s suggested it will explain all when it comes to why conservatives are the way they are and vice versa for liberals. Naturally, I never did it, but I’ve been more and more wondering about this question and seeking some insight.

moral politics George Lakoff   How conservatives and liberals think. or not.Today there was a piece in the New York Times called The Gulf of Morality that tries to get at how and why the two sides think as they do. And who should be the first person they quote, but Professor Lakoff who makes this ridiculous comment:

conservatives believe in individual responsibility alone, not social responsibility. They don’t think government should help its citizens. That is, they don’t think citizens should help each other.

This is absurd on its face – especially given my post earlier today about conservatives giving a lot more of their income to charity, being more likely to devote their own time to charitable causes (volunteerism), and when they do volunteer, to spend almost double the amount of time doing it.

So if this is what this guy thinks about conservatives, how can Dan be recommending him as the font of wisdom? I wanted to know more. Since I’m too lazy to read an entire book, I took a shortcut and listened to a lecture he gave at UC San Diego in 2005 about the topic of his book ‘Moral Politics’. It’s an hour long and I’ve listened carefully to it twice.

Here are some thoughts:

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Comparison of Top 1%

In Paul Krugman‘s post today, he references a useful database created by the Paris School of Economics called The World Top Income Database.  I’m sure it is full of lots of useful info, but I went for the easy stuff and grabbed the excellent chart below.

income inequality by year and country Comparison of Top 1%

Source: The World Top Incomes Database

Like other similar charts I’ve posted have shown, it shows a sharp change wealth held by the top 1% in the past 25 years or so. I’ve been wondering about the causal mechanics behind this.

What I never realized before is how sharply it changes in a particular year – 1987 – and carries on from there. At that point, the USA started to diverge significantly from other countries.

So the obvious question is: why? What happened in that year? I don’t really know.

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‘Conservatives are selfish people’ – Not

I make a point to read the New York Times every day, especially the OpEd pieces. I very often disagree with the OpEd pieces, but what are often even more remarkable are the comments. One from a piece today was especially remarkable for its concise and utterly unsupportable point.

The piece is titled The Gulf of Morality and it speaks to an issue that I’ve been thinking about a lot lately which is why/how liberals and conservatives can’t communicate.

I plan to post on the piece itself shortly, but the comment that got me is this from Stephen in New Haven (boldface by me):

Conservatives are a psychological and human anomaly. Although they like to think they pulled themselves up by their bootstraps, all they really do is climb over other people on the way up. To put it bluntly: Conservatives are selfish people.

This behavior is completely at odds with human development. Selfishness does not help the group survive. We evolved to live in social groups who look after one another.

Over the many years I lived in Massachusetts, I often heard statements like this and they seemed at odds with reality as I knew it. In other words, if I looked at actual Republicans I knew were they more selfish than the Democrats I knew? No, generally not. Plenty of Democrats are selfish – possibly even more so.

Nevertheless, Democrats rarely pass up an opportunity to profess undying concern for others, but do they do more than Republicans to actually improve the lives of those people? In particular, do they personally do things? Answer: no. I could share specific anecdotes, but won’t.

You can see this in study after study of charitable giving and time spent volunteering for charities or good works. The Blue States (Democrats) systematically give less to charity – and have for years and years since I first became aware of this type of data. The Blue states consistently show up at the bottom of the charitable giving rankings. The Red States are generally towards the top. Of course, the correlation isn’t perfect, but it’s pretty darn strong.

This phenomenon is well documented by multiple studies by multiple entities. Here is 2008 piece by Nicholas Kristol, who’s about as liberal as they come, sharing the bad news. He cites studies by Arthur Brooks and Google that showed a “30%” and “nearly double” edge to Republican households over Democrat households in charitable giving.

A quick google search also yielded this excellent analysis of some of the data Kristol used to draw his conclusions done by a company called GeoIQ (they found a way to use the geo skills to enhance the data with some great charts).

Some newer data can be found here: Frasier Institute. See table below for actual data from this report. As I’ve seen before, this data shows that my beloved home state of MA which is stuffed to the gills with liberals finishes 40th (out of 50) in percentage of income given to charity. In past years, it was even worse. I think it used to be 46th or something. California is 30th out of 50.

Here’s a chart from the GeoIQ post (big version) that captures this visually. The orange states voted Republican in 2008 (aka the Red States). Blue voted Democrat (aka the Blue States). The larger the dot, the higher the charitable giving for that state as measured by the ‘Generosity Index Ranking’ – a metric compiled by the Catalogue for Philanthropy (or maybe now the Frasier Institute?).

charitable giving democrats vs republicans Conservatives are selfish people   Not

Source: GeoIQ

Tables below from Generosity in Canada and the United States: The 2010 Generosity Index. They are hard to read here, so please click images to see them in a larger size.

charitable giving by state1 Conservatives are selfish people   Not

charitable giving by state2 Conservatives are selfish people   Not

 

Sovereign debt in the USA and other countries

High levels of sovereign debt are causing enormous problems in Europe and elsewhere around the world right now. A few charts.

US debt: US debt levels have jumped sharply in recent years and are rapidly approaching 100%.

us debt as percentage of gdp 1900 2010 2020 Sovereign debt in the USA and other countries

Source: FutureTimeline.net

Worldwide debt levels as a percent of GDP: Debt levels have skyrocketed worldwide since the recession began. Many developed countries now have debt levels well above 80% of GDP. I’m not sure what the ‘right’ amount of debt is, but it is surely a whole lot less than the current levels.

 Sovereign debt in the USA and other countries

Source: Chartsbin.com (if you visit their site, you will find an interactive version of this chart which is very cool)

sovereign debt by country Sovereign debt in the USA and other countries

Source: Wikipedia

Worldwide debt levels per capita: Debt levels per capita are growing very quickly. US per capita debt has grown by about 50% since 2007 and is projected to grow by another 50% by 2015 to give us the 2nd highest in the world.

sovereign debt per capita 2010 Sovereign debt in the USA and other countries

Source: Brookings Institute

sovereign debt per capita 2015 Sovereign debt in the USA and other countries

Source: Brookings Institute

Brookings credits IMF Fiscal Monitor, May 2010; IMF WEO, April 2010 as the sources of their data.

Brookings also has some related charts that show per capita debt per working age person in 2007, 2010, and 2015. They project about $80,000 per person in 2015. That’s a pile to have on each person’s shoulders – and this is not even actual workers, but simply people of that age range.

Income mobility – sticky at the top and bottom

Good writeup today in the Wall Street Journal about income equality and mobility. Very detailed data from a 2005 Bush Treasury Department analysis.

The chart tracks households across two year – 1996 and 2005 – to see how much people moved from one quintile to another. It isn’t too surprising to see that there is a lot of stickyness at the top and bottom.

  • At the top end, 61% of workers that were in the top quintile in 1996 were still there in 2005
  • At the low end, 55% of workers that were in the bottom quintile in ’96 were still there in ’05

 

income mobility from wsj Income mobility   sticky at the top and bottom

Source: Wall Street Journal

Apparently the analysis shows that income mobility has declined in recent years. I guess that is bad.

In a related thought, I’d like to see an analysis of the composition of the top 1% – e.g., a tally by profession. Based on how the Occupy and other folks talk, everyone seems to assume that the list would be 99.9% would be a greedy corporate baron. But won’t the list also have piles of actors, media personalities, and athletes? How about doctors and lawyers? Are these folks bad, too? Perhaps I’ll dig into this and see if there’s any data around.

 

 

 

Keystone XL – Is there a better route for transporting the oil?

Read this this morning in the Wall Street Journal:

Credit Suisse analyst Ed Westlake puts it this way: “From a transportation perspective, which is more environmentally risky: Shipping crude across the Rocky Mountains to the British Colombia coast, loading the crude onto tankers which sail down the California coast, through the Panama Canal and into the Gulf of Mexico or building a [southern] pipeline to the latest safety specifications?”

Quite so.

keystone ledeall1 Keystone XL   Is there a better route for transporting the oil?

Source: Politico

In a related column on the First Enercast Financial website that uses the same quote, there is a bit more discussion of the reasoning of opponents of the pipeline and a good analogy is offered. The underlying issue is simply opposition to use of oil – especially ‘dirty oil’ as an energy source and this is an attempt to restrict access in the hopes of reducing usage. Quite likely these folks would like to kill it at it’s source – the tar sands fields. But killing either the pipeline or tar sands generally is misguided for many reasons, imo.

This deep felt opposition to fossil fuels development is one of the most fundamental economic problems with the liberal / environmental agenda. If anything, we should be figuring out to how to develop and use a lot more North American oil, coal, and gas.

A column in Politico also characterizes Obama’s decision as a “punt” and goes on to quote a labor union president as follows:

“Environmentalists formed a circle around the White House and within days the Obama administration chose to inflict a potentially fatal delay to a project that is not just a pipeline, but is a lifeline for thousands of desperate working men and women,” Terry O’Sullivan, general president of the Laborers’s International Union of North America, said in a statement. “The administration chose to support environmentalists over jobs — job-killers win, American workers lose.”

Per my post yesterday, it is awesome to see a union president also using the term ‘job killer’. How great is that?

It is also interesting to see how environmentalists beat out even unions in this case. Democrat against Democrat. Must have been a tough call Obama. No doubt he will throw the next one over to the unions – got to keep everyone happy.

And it reminds me of a related type of schism in the Democratic party over Cape Wind. In that case, it is environmentalists vs. environmentalists. The green energy part of the movement wants the thing. Other parts don’t and they are fighting to the death. I’m amazed the project continues at all given how long it has taken and how expensive it must be to keep going. I imagine there are large government incentives and subsidies at the end of the line that help grease the skids.

US jobs data

I came across this blog today by Scott Grannis, a supply side economist who worked in institutional money management and is now apparently retired. It has some great info. Lots of charts – I like charts.

This one about private sector vs. public sector jobs over the past decade or so is especially helpful.

private vs public jobs US jobs data

Obama: Job Killer-in-Chief

Geez, yesterday Obama punted on the Keystone XL project that the State Department had approved a couple of months ago after a 2-year review process. I wrote about this before here.

 Obama: Job Killer in ChiefFor all his endless rhetoric about creating jobs, it appears there aren’t too many kinds of jobs that Obama actually finds worthy of pushing thru.

From my perspective, he’s stymied or outright blocked job creation in the following sectors:

  • Energy sector in all it’s forms, except green jobs (too dirty)
  • Defense sector (too violent)
  • Aerospace (Boeing action)
  • Medical devices / products (more restrictive FDA)
  • Financial services in it’s many forms (Dodd-Frank, etc.)
  • Telecom sector (killed AT&T / T-Mobile merger)

He even recently created problems for the guitar industry because it was using wood that apparently wasn’t produced to the standards our government expect. And more generally, he’s cranked up the amount of regulation facing businesses in most every sector in a way that, at a minimum, can’t be said to encourage growth.

He gives lip service to jobs, but in practice the only jobs he appears to be in favor of are ones that are heavily subsidized by the Federal government:

  • Federal and state government jobs, especially teachers and first responders
  • Construction jobs – at least ones that are paid for with gov’t stimulus money
  • Green energy jobs (even though these are costing the taxpayer on the order of $1m each in subsidies and loans)
  • Health care jobs, even though we spend more per capita than most any other country

The main problem with this strategy is that none of the favored sectors are, as yet, net wealth creators. Each of these sectors are downstream secondary sectors that absorb and make use of wealth created by other sectors. If you make the feedback loop big enough and long enough, you can argue these sectors enable the wealth creating sectors, but if you are sticking it to the wealth creating sectors while pushing ever more money to the wealth absorbers, that loop never really gets a chance to work.

If you don’t enable the wealth creating sectors, you aren’t on a sustainable path – the whole shebang will eventually run out of steam cause there’s not enough input capital (payroll, tax revenues, etc.) coming from the wealth creating sectors to fund wealth absorbing sectors. Some would argue that the origins of this problem pre-dates Obama and I’d agree with that, but surely Obama has done nothing but make it worse at a time when we need it to be functioning at the highest possible level.

So, I’m left totally baffled where he and his fellow Democrats think jobs are going to come from.

  • He’s stuffed every major private sector project / action that’s come along during his presidency
  • He’s enacted piles of new regulations that slow commercial activity on every front
  • He’s ceaselessly cast the private sector as the bad guys for every problem we face

I have no idea how any of this helps create the new wealth in this country that is required to fund new (sustainable)  jobs in wealth creating sectors – or any sector.

From what I can tell, Democrats are totally down with this formula: jobs are crucial as long as they fit within a very narrow band of acceptable commerical activity. Even in these dire times, to the Democratic mind a good job is one that doesn’t pollute, doesn’t mar the landscape in any way, doesn’t discriminate, doesn’t exploit anyone or anything in any way, doesn’t favor the wealthy, doesn’t involve any risk of personal injury, etc.

It’s a pretty restrictive set of conditions and it is no wonder that there are so few sparks of resurgent commercial activity. If it were me, I’d make a very different set of tradeoffs. Rather than increasing restrictions, he should be loosening. If there is some mess made as a result, so be it. We can clean it up later when we are flush.